The Bayesian Treatment of Auxiliary Hypotheses: Reply to Fitelson and Waterman
نویسنده
چکیده
Fitelson and Waterman (2004)’s principal objection to Strevens (2001)’s Bayesian treatment of auxiliary hypotheses rests on a misinterpretation of Strevens’s central claim about the negligibility of certain small probabilities. The present paper clarifies and proves a very general version of the claim.
منابع مشابه
Bayesian Confirmation and Auxiliary Hypotheses Revisited: A Reply to Strevens
Michael Strevens [2001] has proposed an interesting and novel Bayesian analysis of the Quine-Duhem (Q–D) problem (i.e., the problem of auxiliary hypotheses). Strevens’s analysis involves the use of a simplifying idealization concerning the original Q–D problem. We will show that this idealization is far stronger than it might appear. Indeed, we argue that Strevens’s idealization oversimplifies ...
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